How to price your grain and not undersell: netback, delivery basis, vetting the buyer
How to convert a buyer's price back to your elevator, when it pays to sell, how to lock in a price and vet a counterparty.
Compare prices on the same basis only
A price is always tied to the point where the goods change hands. For example, “KZT 95,000/t EXW elevator” and “KZT 95,000/t DAP Tashkent” are very different money. Before comparing, bring all offers to the same basis, ideally your own grain elevator.
Netback: what you actually keep
Netback is the buyer's price minus all the costs of delivering the goods to the buyer.
- Formula:netback = price on the buyer's basis − rail or truck tariff − elevator load-out − forwarding and certificates − cost of money while waiting for payment.
- For exports, convert the foreign-currency price into tenge at a realistic exchange rate for the payment date.
- Factor in VAT (16% from 2026) and your tax regime. Food Contract Corporation prices are quoted including VAT.
Market benchmarks
- The Food Contract Corporation's purchase price for Class 3 wheat from the 2026 harvest isKZT 92–115 thousand/tdepending on quality. Many market participants use it as a price floor.
- Track trader and mill prices in your region, export prices in Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, and the tenge exchange rate.
- Compare at least 3–5 offers, always with the same quality requirements.
Seasonality
- Right after harvest (September–October) supply peaks, while prices and railcar availability are often worse.
- Storage at a grain elevator costs money. Work out whether the expected price rise will cover storage costs and loan interest.
- A grain receipt lets you sell grain in parts without removing it from the elevator, or borrow against it as collateral.
How to lock in a price
Kazakhstan has no liquid tenge-denominated grain futures market, so you can lock in a price in these ways:
- a forward contractwith a buyer: the price is fixed in advance, delivery comes later;
- a Food Contract Corporation forward: an advance in spring, delivery in autumn with a possible top-up payment;
- selling in tranches: for example, a third of the harvest right away, a third in winter and a third in spring;
- a price formula linked to an index or export quotation, written into the contract.
Vetting the buyer
- Onkgd.gov.kzmatch the BIN in the contract and invoice against the company name. Check the company against the lists of unreliable taxpayers: inactive, bankrupt, with invalid registration, absent from their registered address, or in debt. You can also check VAT registration and the absence of tax arrears there.
- Check for debts in the register of debtors (aisoip.adilet.gov.kz) and the legal entity's details on eGov.
- Make sure the contract is signed by the director or a representative with a power of attorney.
- Collect feedback on the buyer from other farmers and elevators.
Payment terms
- With a new buyer, work on100% prepaymentor release grain in parts after each payment.
- For exports and large lots, use aletter of credit: the bank pays when shipping documents are presented.
- Do not transfer the grain receipt to the buyer until the money has reached your account.